Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 2.060217 2.242286 2.436485 2.659600 2.909552 3.181724 3.501577
2025-11-30 1.826409 2.080799 2.368634 2.720627 3.142451 3.635488 4.260923
2025-12-07 1.637281 1.926118 2.266906 2.702990 3.252486 3.930474 4.843881
2025-12-14 1.492137 1.799713 2.174735 2.672330 3.325474 4.168423 5.363760
2025-12-21 1.349490 1.659641 2.047690 2.577642 3.296617 4.259499 5.684877
2025-12-28 1.272839 1.594592 2.007214 2.586684 3.398732 4.527078 6.271851
2026-01-04 1.215330 1.548490 1.985541 2.615461 3.525554 4.835454 6.948775
2026-01-11 1.167024 1.510114 1.969681 2.648241 3.657168 5.158953 7.683831
2026-01-18 1.122388 1.472977 1.951654 2.674397 3.778290 5.474648 8.442361
2026-01-25 1.075715 1.429572 1.921049 2.678245 3.863475 5.739262 9.145752
2026-02-01 1.015195 1.362881 1.852523 2.619413 3.844300 5.830953 9.554351
2026-02-08 0.966415 1.310209 1.800942 2.582044 3.854772 5.970135 10.063209
2026-02-15 0.926840 1.269643 1.765991 2.569731 3.907716 6.191374 10.767896
2026-02-22 0.909835 1.261290 1.778617 2.633257 4.092253 6.662283 12.035666
2026-03-01 0.874448 1.223479 1.743861 2.617134 4.137915 6.885246 12.830575
2026-03-08 0.838692 1.183281 1.703042 2.587834 4.157128 7.059281 13.546481
2026-03-15 0.791485 1.123441 1.628384 2.496960 4.058324 6.996295 13.724821
2026-03-22 0.769582 1.101715 1.612997 2.505645 4.141491 7.297758 14.787625
2026-03-29 0.753121 1.087639 1.608963 2.533271 4.261565 7.685610 16.126123
2026-04-05 0.738407 1.075565 1.607380 2.564736 4.391028 8.106796 17.629611
2026-04-12 0.723257 1.062053 1.602588 2.589840 4.509723 8.518074 19.192101
2026-04-19 0.704895 1.042527 1.586699 2.593533 4.585657 8.843537 20.590000
2026-04-26 0.676534 1.005600 1.539746 2.537065 4.534663 8.876272 21.163422